Thursday, February 28, 2008

Today Israel Is Not a Normal Country

I posted a few weeks ago that the Snow in Jerusalem made Israel a normal country for one day. Today, I am happy to report that Israel is definitely not a normal country. No, it is not the rockets in Sderot but the snow. I walked through very sunny and warm Herzliya Pituach today (65 degrees) and saw this odd site.

The top picture below is that of workers building a Snowboard ramp in Herzliya Pituach to be used for a snowboarding fun night this evening at 7:30pm. They brought the snow from the Hermon. What was not being thrown as snowballs by the over excited workers, was melting pretty quickly.

This is a view from the motorboat parked outside the snowboard ramp. you can see the snow in the background.
And the proud sponsor with a tent above the snow...

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Interesting Website on Keeping Jerusalem Unified

Mayoral candidate and good friend Nir Barkat has posted an interesting website (hebrew)on keeping Jerusalem Unified, a central theme of his campaign. Worth a look also for who is in the video and what that says about the forces in the campaign as well as for the theme itself.

Now if they could only keep Jerusalem safe from criminals and burglars we might even be able to turn the city around.

Saturday, February 16, 2008

Maybe my Yankees Can Use Some Wisdom of the Crowds

Plagued by bad signings of over-the-hill players and pitchers and mediocre playoff performance, I have been thinking that my beloved Yankees could use some help in the front office. Ever since I was a kid memorizing the stats page in the NY Times (when people still needed a newspaper), I thought I knew what was best for the Yankees. But they had Gene Michael and now Brian Cashman. Nobody was listening to me.

For the last year, a little Israeli company called Web2Sport has put me and others like me in charge of a soccer team. This team , Kiryat Shalom, is run completely by its 12,000 fans. This includes player selection, starting teams and substitutions. Don't believe it can work? This perennial last place team has been as high as 3rd in their divisional standings. Kiryat Shalom has been covered in many blogs and news outlets before. What is new you ask? This very well-done video below (tip of the hat to founder Moshiko Hogeg) is from a recent game after investor Alon Carmel gave a motivational speech. It does a good job of describing and then showing through highlights the way web2sport works. And, after the speech the team went out and....watch the video and you will see.

Friday, February 15, 2008

Children: Signs of the Times

Two episodes from this evening in our home are telling of the times we live in and I just had to tell them over.

1. One of my sons enjoys the American History and particularly the history of American Presidents. In quizzing him on President Nixon, I asked him "Why did they want to impeach President Nixon?" (which never came to pass). My son retorted "Steroids!"

2. My daughter went out the other night to join the residents of Sderot in their protest tent outside of the Prime Minister's office in Jerusalem. The poor residents of Sderot have been bombarded with kassam rockets ever since Israel withdrew from Gaza. They have had enough and brought their protest to Jerusalem. Tonight she came to me and asked when we were getting our insurance money from a recent burglary we had. I said, "I do not know, why?" She asked how much her Jewelry that was stolen was worth. I said, "maybe a couple of hundred dollars." She said, "well I do not wear much Jewelry, so I would like to give the money to the Sderot defense fund." I was filled with nachas.

Sunday, February 10, 2008

The Browser Wars Take 2

I have waited to weigh in on Micro-hoo and watched analysts take a swing on the likelihood the deal will happen. I am more interested in what motivated MSFT to do this deal. Henry Blodget has an interesting post on what he calls "Microsoft's Colossal Mistake."
"The Yahoo acquisition is also cursed because it is predicated on a colossal strategic mistake: Microsoft's misguided conviction that needs to be in the advertising business.

Microsoft wants to buy Yahoo in part because it wants to develop a global "cloud computing" platform....Cloud computing appears to be a classic disruptive technology, one that will likely end up maiming or killing incumbents like Microsoft. That said, buying Yahoo is not the cheapest or smartest way for Microsoft to break into the cloud computing game. More importantly, it also commits Microsoft even more deeply to a business--ad-supported Internet media--that it simply doesn't need to be in.....

Microsoft's Misconception: "Cloud Computing" = Software Supported By Advertising

The problem is the way Microsoft has always framed the "cloud computing" transition:

  • paid desktop software licenses giving way to
  • free web-based software supported by advertising.

This framing is wrong. It has also led Microsoft to believe it has no choice but to compete with Google in search and to buy Yahoo, aQuantive, et al, to beef up its advertising platform."


I agree with Blodget's assertion that Microsoft has got this all wrong but I think the mistake is more historical and is not necessarily predicated on Cloud computing. Yahoo, as Blodget says correctly, is not the obvious choice if you want to get into cloud computing. MSFT could have bought Zimbra, It could buy Zoho or a host of others.

Microsoft, in my opinion, has a tendency to look at others' mistakes and then chase yesterday. So, in the mid-90s it observed that Netscape got an early start on the browser. Microsoft, concluded that it could not lose the software business and relentlessly pursued Netscape in the first browser war and ultimately triumphed. That made sense since the browser was desktop software, which is a category Microsoft has owned. I believe though that Microsoft also keenly observed that Netscape missed the disruptive boat, choosing to compete in software (servers and browsers which is MSFT's home turf) rather than realizing that what was behind the window was more important. To remind you, Netscape put good old Yahoo behind that window and let Yahoo build its business on Netscape's users.

Microsoft, determined not to make the same mistake, ventured out of their core competency and built MSN to put behind its own browser, IE. but MSN has never truly been a huge player online and not a well known brand. So, Microsoft, concludes now, ten years later, that the real problem is that they did not have a leading online brand or set of services behind the browser and ventures out to buy one, for $40Bn. In fact, Ballmer tipped his hand on this by saying that the Yahoo brand will persist. Ballmer assumes that by pairing the market share browser leader with a leading "portal" he will win users over to the paltform and by putting the research organizations together and getting scale on the ad network he will improve monetization.

Message to Steve Ballmer - That is so 90s! fast forward to today: Users are opting around the browser. They are searching via toolbars that can come from any site such as the toolbars from Conduit (full disclosure: Benchmark is invested in Conduit). In fact, I would venture to say that Google and Yahoo's toolbar business is well over $2Bn of revenue. They are turning off browser defaults and opting for other browsers such as Firefox and safari that have more built in choices and customization options.

In addition, the widgetization of the web is spreading entry points away from the browser and away from portals. Microsoft is doubling down on centralization here by coupling the browser and the portal whereas the web is atomizing and decentralizing at a rapid rate. This is yesterday's playbook and is counter trend. Google, while a start page for many, is the epitome of decentralization, spraying users to web pages everywhere and leveraging the power of Links. Microsoft is doing what Microsoft does best and perhaps the only thing it knows how to do: pushing for centralization, portaling and tight coupling, and that is doomed for failure.

Photo: from Valleywag contest.

For a lighter look at the MicroHoo goings-on, see this video from the folks at 5Min.